What are the chances you win 6/49 Lotto game?

Wednesday 28 February, 2018


lottery win probability

The likelihood of hitting the six correct numbers in the Super Lotto lottery lies in the enigmatic amount equal to 13,983,816. What does it mean and which events in everyday life are similar to this? Besides, you will learn what the ways to win with 100% certainty are.

Super Lotto Jackpots?!

The very high rollovers, for 49,481,329.00 PHP, cause that each of us - the players, during our everyday activities wonders whether it is worth to play at all? It would be nice to find a way to predict the future numbers, but can the happy six be taken from thin air? Maybe it is worth going to the fortune-teller?

Anyway, this accessible and substantial prized game stimulates everyone's imagination when there are several million pesos in the jackpot. This happened after the last draw on Tuesday, when the balls marked with numbers: 28, 42, 23, 01, 44, 36 were drawn. Among them were four even and two odd. You can perform parity analysis in the tools section of our website. None of the players have selected these numbers, so the jackpot has accumulated and grown to more than 49 million pesos.

Will I have a deadly accident more likely than a lottery win?

Let's move on to the most important and fascinating idea. What is the chance that I will win the main prize in Super Lotto? Mathematics used to assess the chance of the win with well known probability. For Lotto, it is like 1 to 13,983,816.

What does this, at first quite magical number mean? This is the number of all possible combinations in Super Lotto. In other words, it is a set of all possible sixes that can be drawn out during the draw (so far over 1600 sixes in so many draws).

Number one means one bet made by the player. When a player purchases two bets the probability will be 2 to 13,983,816, which is exactly twice as much as originally (1 to 6,991,908). So, if we buy more tickets, do we increase the probability of winning or not? Yes and no. From a mathematical point of view, yes. But how to explain that some people win one ticket, buying it for the first time in their life?

Such an excellent case can be turned into an analogy when something terrible happens, and a man wonders why it happened just for me? We're probably just a record in statistics. Mathematical probability works in large data populations. Therefore, with a large number of purchased tickets (and this is usually the case), payout thresholds in lotteries are calculated and set so that the PCSO will always earn, independently of sales.

Looking through the various web pages, you can find the scientists calculations on the subject of multiple probabilities; a few will be presented here. Theoretically, more likely than winning a Lotto is that:
- in a year you will die in a plane crash (1 to about a million or two),
- you will have compatible antigens as a bone marrow donor with a stranger (1: 100 a 1: 25000),
- you will die in a car accident (1 to around 2000).

This data is very inaccurate but shows the scale.

How to win the lottery for certain?

After all, there is a way to win 100% proved in Lotto. You need to buy all possible combinations... The cost of such a business, however, is huge - almost PHP 280 million for tickets. Theoretically, it is profitable. However, you need Jackpot above this amount (or a little lower due to additional lower wins, but let's also remember about the taxes).

It may sound absurd, but there have been such cases in the history of lottery games in the world. A crazy case took place in Australia. There were 7 059 052 tickets needed for purchase to fill all combinations. Thousands of players from the world took part in the action, ready to put in three thousand $ as an investment. The profit would be over 10,000 $ each.

The members seemed to have made careful preparations, and they filled 1.4 million bet slips with combinations. The ticket buying campaign started 72 hours before the draw. The team was working full time to do it. One of the stores sent 75,000 tickets in 48h itself.

Eventually, they failed, only over 5 million tickets were managed to buy. But it turned out that they luckily won! It took a dozen or so days to search for the winning coupon after all.